US Economy Shows Signs of Recession as Key Indicators Decline
The US economy is flashing warning signs of an impending recession, according to the latest data from the Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI). The index fell 0.1% in May, marking its sixth consecutive monthly decline. Over the past 39 months, the LEI has dropped in 37, signaling sustained economic deterioration.
Annualized declines of 5% and a cumulative 16% drop—the lowest level in nearly a decade—paint a grim picture. While surface-level metrics appear stable, underlying weakness in industrial activity and trade suggests the economy is entering a phase of decay. "Leading indicators don’t lie," observes one market strategist. "When they point down this consistently, recession isn’t far behind."